Politics

Why the Republicans Capitulated on the Debt Deal

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The Republicans held out a little longer than I thought they would, but they capitulated in the end as I predicted (in a virtually riskless prediction). In return for a miniscule actual reduction in U.S. federal spending—estimated to be roughly $25 billion (from previously projected increases) in the current year, the only year that counts […]

Politics

What the Republicans Should Do

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Declare that raising the U.S. debt ceiling is off the table. Present to the public a specific plan as to how the U.S. should prioritize spending of available cash: payments first for the military and veterans, then for Social Security and Medicare (but not Medicaid), then for creditors (except for hostile governments such as China […]

Politics

On the Backs of the Productive

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Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, speaking on “Fox News Sunday” this week, cited these statistics, which are remarkable though not in the way that Geithner meant: And remember this country, this great nation with our great resources today, one in eight Americans are eligible for food stamps today. Forty percent of Americans born today are born […]

Politics

“The Despoiling of Ability”

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As if having read my blog (Shared Sacrifice) from Tuesday and reprising his role as the villain, President Obama said this yesterday: Look, I want everybody in America to do well. I want everybody to have a chance to become a millionaire. I think the free market system is the greatest wealth generator we’ve ever […]

Politics

Shared Sacrifice

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President Obama and fellow Democrats use the phrase “shared sacrifice” so often that the phrase is now a standard term. I have not heard any Republican use the term favorably, but neither have I heard any Republican dispute the notion. The only argument I have heard some Republicans raise is that the Democrats are hypocrites, […]

Politics

Happy Independence Day

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Today I celebrated Independence Day by reading the Declaration of Independence and some pages of Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand. Anyone who wonders about the connection is invited to read the right-hand column of the home page of this blog. Second Renaissance Books once published a tear-off calendar, “Ayn Rand Quote of the Day • […]

Epistemology

The Doomsday Argument, Self-Sampling Assumption, and Self-Indication Assumption are wrong, but induction is alive and well.

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I have just completed a revised and expanded version (80 pages, double-spaced) of my paper, “Past Longevity as Evidence for the Future”; it is available online here. (Update, 7/31/2011: This work is now available as an eBook; see here. Update, 5/8/2016: This expanded work is now available as a paperback book on Amazon. See here.) […]

Politics

The Real Immorality of Congressman Weiner

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The scandal over the lewd photo of U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner (D – New York) sent from the Congressman’s Twitter account has received much press the last few days. But no one seems to have identified what should be the most scandalous part of the scandal: this statement by Weiner. I think that what people […]